Mar 09
  1. China accounts for approximately 19.5% of the world population but has only 7% of the globe’s freshwater resources.
  2. Water efficiency in China is poor compared to its G20 peers, requiring around four times as much water per US$ of GDP created.
  3. Two-thirds of China’s 660 cities suffer from water shortages with the situation in 110 termed ’severe’.
  4. About 700 million people drink water that is contaminated with animal and human waste.
  5. Water pollution sickens 190 million Chinese and causes 60,000 premature deaths every year.
  6. By 2015 China is expected to have almost 110 cities with over 1 million people, growing to more than 220 cities by 2025.
  7. In 2005 the Chinese water system leaked an estimated 10 billion m3, more than 20% of the total processed.
  8. In Northern China 90% of the aquifers under Chinese cities are polluted.
  9. Over 75% of rivers water flowing through urban areas are considered unsuitable for drinking or fishing.
  10. 30% of river water in China is regarded as unfit for agricultural or industrial use.

Source:  Issues for Responsible Investors:  Water in China, February 2010.  Research by Dave Dore, Guo Peiyuan, Anna-Sterre Nette and Jiali An.

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Jan 20

By Digby Lidstone
Published: January 19 2010 02:00 | Last updated: January 19 2010 02:00

Standing in one of the many farms that line Bahrain’s northern coast, it is easy to forget that this is technically a desert island. Between the ranks of date palms and pomegranate trees stretch fields of spinach, herbs and potatoes – a view more appropriate to a Caribbean island than the arid Gulf.

Yet this bounty has come at a high price. Poor management, population growth and the promotion of energy and water-intensive lifestyles have pushed the Gulf states into a crisis, says a new report by NCB Capital , a regional investment bank. Ground-water reserves have been severely depleted and many cities, such as Jeddah, routinely suffer water shortages in the summer months.

“You are beginning to see in the Gulf the emergence of political constraints to long-term growth and a number of patterns that are unsustainable, from intensive energy use to the waste of water resources and the promotion of agriculture,” says Jarmo Kotilaine, chief economist and author of the report. “Governments are beginning to wake up to these problems, but the concern is that too little is being done and too late.”

The emergence of a large middle class attuned to western lifestyles during the past decade has compounded the problem. The amount of renewable water resources available per person in the Gulf is at best 550 cubic metres a year, says NCB – compared with 89,000 cu m for every Canadian citizen. But consumption levels are among the highest in the world.

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates use nearly 1,000 cu m of water per person a year, and are fast approaching US levels of 1,648 cu m, according to the Food and Agriculture Organisation, a United Nations body.

The rapid growth of urban populations is partly to blame. Municipal water use in Bahrain and Qatar outstrips that of the US, and is exceeded only by Canada. But the chief culprit is agriculture . Since the 1970s, a drive for selfsufficiency in basic foodstuffs such as wheat has proved a drain on ground-water reserves, particularly in Saudi Arabia, the Gulf’s pre-eminent food producer. Agriculture consumes about 80 per cent of the region’s water resources, but contributes less than 2 per cent of regional gross domestic product.

Governments are beginning to grasp the nettle. Oman has curtailed the drilling of wells and legislated against expansion of irrigated land. More radically, Saudi Arabia vowed in 2008 to phase out all wheat production in eight years. An improvement in ground-water levels in the Eastern Province, home to the country’s main aquifers, has since been recorded.

Yet this U-turn would have been unnecessary if authorities had curbed the inefficient use of water, says John Lawton, a British farming consultant based in Riyadh. “You could have a smaller but more sustainable agriculture industry if you applied the right technologies, such as hydroponics and drip-fed irrigation,” he says. “But they don’t seem to want to know.”

The region’s ageing water networks also leave a lot to be desired. About 35 per cent of water produced in Saudi Arabia is lost in transit, says the World Bank. Public infrastructure has fallen well behind the growth of many cities. NCB Capital estimates the Saudi government needs to spend some $33bn just to ensure all its citizens have water and sewerage services.

Waste has been encouraged by heavy subsidies. Gulf water tariffs are among the world’s lowest. “Revising the tariffs would be the easiest way to cut consumption, but that requires a political will,” says Abdulmajeed Ali Alawadhu, chief executive of Bahrain’s Electricity and Water Authority. “It is not a decision even we can take.”

Tariffs, like other subsidies, are tied into the political culture of most Gulf states, whereby ruling families maintain legitimacy through systems of patronage. “The biggest political constraint is the sense of entitlement most citizens have to share in the oil wealth,” says Mr Kotilaine. “In Bahrain, even the suggestion of raising prices can provoke demonstrations.”

Reluctant to tackle the issue of water demand, most governments have instead concentrated on trying to boost supplies, which primarily means desalination plants. GCC states account for about 46 per cent of global desalination capacity, and Saudi Arabia alone is building some SR12bn ($3.2bn) of plants to meet projected demand by 2015.

But this will store up other problems. Desalination plants are highly energy-intensive, yet the natural gas that feeds them is in short supply in most Gulf states, strained by export commitments, rising demand for electricity and the growth of industries. “This model of growth is not sustainable any more, and something has to give,” says Mr Kotilaine. “Many of these resources are going to run out within a lifetime.”

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Dec 15

Dependency of desalination

The average annual increase of demand for desalinated water in the Arab world is 6% per annum compared to the 3% global average.  40% of desalinated water demand in the Middle East comes from the industrial and municipal sectors. Approximately 70% (about 24 million cu. Meters per day) of the UAE’s water comes from desalination plants. Dubai alone has an installed desalination capacity of 188 million gallons per day (MIGD) with a total production of 58.8 MIGD.

Saudi Arabia has scarce fresh water resources. Official statistics show that the country is the world’s largest producer of desalinated water with 30 % global production.  The 30 desalination plants in Saudi Arabia pump almost 600 million gallons per day meeting 70% of the drinking water needs.  US $53 billion is required to increase its desalination capacity to 10.7million cubic meters per day by 2020 to meet demand.[1]

For the Arabian states, desalination completely underpins fresh-water availability and will play an increasing role going forward.

Given this dependency, a desalination plant’s reliability and service availability are essential to sustain and allow the continuing long-term socio-economic development in the Arabian Gulf countries. Regrettably, as desalinated seawater is indispensably required at any cost, the main concern so far has been limited on the potential impact of off shore oil spills on desalination plants (Al Malek and Mohamed, 2005)[2]. Due to its semi-enclosed nature and arid climate, special attention should also be given to the impact of seawater desalination plants on the hypersaline Arabian Gulf (Hoepner, 1999[3]; Schiffler, 2004[4]).

Envirnomental impacts

So, while politicians and leaders play up the significant advantages of desalination, an increasing number of commentators are looking to the current environmental impacts of desalination on the Persian Gulf as an indicator of things to come.

It is generally agreed that desalination plants have the potential to adversely affect the environment in a number ways.   These include:

1. Impact of the marine habitats: The effluent in the waste is a heavily concentrated brine solution. After the brine solution is discharged, it has the potential to kill marine organisms.  Although the brine solution contains natural ingredients of the seawater it may cause damage by its unnatural concentration to marine population near the outlet. Another concern is the chemicals from pre treatments and from membrane periodical cleaning can harm the habitat.  An example is the use of biocides such as chlorine, which is used to clean pipes or to pretreat the water. These chemicals must be treated before they are released to the ocean.

2. Impact of rising water temperature: The discharged waste has the potential to raise the temperature of coastal waters near the outlet. This has adverse effect on marine life and water quality.

Green impacts

From a green perspective, world experts in desalination are concerned by the impact which giant desalination plants could have on the marine environment. This concern is based on the effects produced by the discharges from one of the biggest desalination plants in the world in the Persian Gulf, where the continental shelf can be seen from the air to be covered by a layer of saline.

Economic impacts

However, from an economic perspective, higher salinity of the seawater intake will reduce the desalination plant’s efficiency (Abdul Azis et al., 2000)[5], and hence increase the cost of producing desalinated seawater (Dore, 2005)[6].  The unfortunate example is the Addur reverse osmosis desalination plant in the southern part of Bahrain, where the harsh seawater conditions brought down the plant’s production capacity to less than half the installed capacity (Burashid and Hussain, 2004)[7].  This means that states dependent on desalinated water will find themselves on and endless treadmill of capital investment into installed capacity and escalating costs in removing the same imputities over and over again!


[1] http://www.emwis.net/thematicdirs/events/water-investment-world-middle-east-2009

[2] Al Malek, S.A. and Mohamed, A.M.O. (2005) Environmental impact assessment of off shore oil spill on desalination plant. Desalination 185: 9-30.

[3] Hoepner, T. (1999) A procedure for environmental impact assessments (EIA) for seawater desalination plants. Desalination 172: 207-214.

[4] Schiffler, M. (2004) Perspective and challenges for desalination in the 21st century. Desalination 165: 1-9.

[5] Abdul Azis, P.K., Al Tisan, I., Al Daili, M., Green, T.N., Dalvi, A.I. and Javeed, M.A. (2000) Effects of environment on source water for desalination plants on the eastern coast of Saudi Arabia. Desalination 132: 29-40.

[6] Dore, M.H.I. (2005) Forecasting the economic costs of desalination technology. Desalination 172: 207-214.

[7] Burashid, K. and Hussain, A.R. (2004) Seawater RO plant operation and maintenance experience: Addur desalination plant operation assessment. Desalination 165: 11-22.

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Dec 02
Posted: Friday 27th November 2009

Long term impact on global economic growth likely.

The world population’s access to safe drinking water could decline as early as next year, according to research by HaloSource, a leading clean water and anti-microbial technology company.

The research also supports the strong correlation between access to safe drinking water and economic growth and means that falling access levels may affect global economic growth by 2050.

In spite of major initiatives and financial commitments by national governments, water institutions and businesses, access to safe drinking water is expected to start declining next year. By the middle of the century, it’s likely to fall below 1997 levels, the year of the United Nation’s first World Water Conference when the international community launched its first attempt to increase access to safe drinking water.

The research shows a strong correlation between access to safe drinking water and economic growth, suggesting that per capita growth can be expected to fall when less than 70% of the world population has access to safe water. The emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, India and China are expected to be affected first, possibly as early as 2015 and this is likely to have wider implications for the global economy.

The research uses data sourced from a range of international organisations, analysed using statistical techniques reviewed by Professor Geoffrey Wood of the Cass Business School in London. The findings show that:

  • The rate of improvement in access to safe drinking water has long been in decline; the percentage of the world’s population with access to safe drinking water rose by 11.1% between 1970 and 1975, but grew by only 2.4% between 2000 and 2006.
  • In 2008, over one billion people lacked access to safe drinking water and, on current trends, this number is likely to increase.
  • Reduced supplies of freshwater resulting from climate change and over use are leaving more nations facing chronic water shortages. By 2025, 1.8 billion people are expected to be living in countries or regions with absolute water scarcity and two-thirds of the world population could be under stress conditions.
  • The emerging market economies are expected to be first to suffer from a decline in access to safe drinking water. This could happen as early as 2015.
  • There is an important role for industry, governments and supra-national agencies in promoting conservation and in increasing the supplies of safe drinking water through investment in technology.
  • Point of use water purification is expected to make a major contribution to increasing access to safe drinking water around the world.

John Kaestle, CEO of HaloSource, commented, “Over the last 30 years there has been a concerted effort by a range of international bodies to improve global access to safe drinking water. During that time it has become increasingly clear that access is not only matter of survival but that it also has profound social and economic impacts. But efforts to improve access have been stymied by rising water demand from agriculture, industry and for domestic use combined with declining supplies as a result of climate change.”

“Our research shows how serious a continued decline in access to safe drinking water could be for the world economy. We need to exploit every avenue to address the water shortages. While large scale clean water projects clearly have an important role to play, they are expensive and capital intensive, particularly in areas where population density is low. And the opportunities for purified water to be subsequently contaminated in storage or transfer mean that they are not always as effective as planned. Against this dilemma, “point of use purification” approaches are affordable, simple and practical.”

“Our research demonstrates the need for a concerted effort to invest further in water conservation and improved supply of safe drinking water throughout the world.”

Click here to jump the the Water Active site.

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Nov 24

The availability of bulk water availabe for export has increased over the past years and there now appears to be three countries leading the way.  These countries are New Zealand, United States of America and Iceland.

New Zealand

The New Zealand company, Aquazeal, has a substantial amount of pristine water available for export in bottles, containers or in bulk carriers.  The water is ranks as some of the purest in the world.

Over the past 12 months, Aquazeal have put amassed a significant port-folio of New Zealand water derived from multiple water sources.  As such the water can be loaded from a number of different ports within New Zealand.

Aquazeal also offers a unique option arrangement whereby a customer has the right to draw a pre-determined quantity of water over a agreed period.  This is ideal for customers that what assurance that water will be available over the long-term and the price won’t escalate when the predicted pressure comes on global fresh water supply.

(see aquazeal.co.nz)

United States of America

A US company, S2C Global Systems, Inc. (OTCBB: STWG) recently acquired a 50% interest in Alaska Resource and Management, LLC.(ARM) the owner of a bulk water license for fresh water from Blue Lake located in Sitka, Alaska, and entered the bulk water export market.

ARM is selling the water freight on board Sitka, Alaska at global market rates.  They report publicly that buyers from Asia, the Middle East and India are in discussions with ARM to secure these waters for themselves.  Recently they announced that they were finalizing logistic details in order to provide a completed term sheet to government clients in Iraq and initiate a long term relationship with future Saudi Arabian business interests.

ARM certainly seem to be throwing considerable capital in trying to kickstart their bulk water export business.

(see s2cglobal.com)

Iceland

There are number of companies that purport to export fresh water from Iceland.  Two such companies are:

Iceland Water International

Their spring originates in Vatnajokull national park in Iceland,  the source area is in a protected land and fenced off zone in Fjardabyggd on the east cost of Iceland.  According to their website, a stainless steel pipeline is used to direct the flow of the spring to the control room and then to the bottling plant, the community and the harbor.  IWI have offices set up in the Boston, London, Dubai to factiliate exports.

Iceland Glacier Products

ICP’s water source is feed from the Snaefellsjokull glacier.  As with the New Zealand water, it can be exported in 24,000 litre containers and bulk vessels.

Comparison

In a recent S2C press release, they identified a number of countries that might be interested in entering into a supply arrangement for bulk water.  It is interesting to look at the relative advantages and disadvantages of sourcing water from each of the locations discussed above.  Below are some factors that a purchaser would consider.

Cost

On the assumption that the FOB pricing is likely to be equivalent from each source, then the difference in landed cost of water is likely to be in direct proportion of the shipping distance.  As a basis of comparison of shipping costs, the table below compares the shipping distances from the point of loading to the Port of Dubai.

Yoyage Kilometres Increased shipping distance
Jackson’s Bay, New Zealand 14,305 kms
Sitka, Alaska 18,246 kms 28%
Fjardabyggd. Iceland 20,954 kms* 46%
* for vessels smaller than Suezmax, the distance is 12,281 kms however the cost per tonne increases with smaller bulk carriers
.

Political and financial risks

The differences in political and financial risks between New Zealand and the USA and Iceland are self-evident and are an extremely important consideration for any long-term supply arrangement.

Accessibility

It is likely that both the New Zealand and Alaskan ports will be accessible 12 months of the year, however there is only one point of loading for the Alaskan water.  This makes year round access to the New Zealand better as there are multiple loading points, eliminating the risks around contamination of a single supply, loading congestion and equipment failure.

Summary

The actual amount of water that can be sold directly to customers is dependent on the markets that can be found for such water and the ability of customers to pay what is a premium over desalinated water.  While there is a limited volume traded annually at present, perhaps no more than 1m tonnes per annum, it is expected that the traded volume will increase as the pressure on the world’s fresh water sources increase.  It is widely acknowledged that acute water stress/crises is likely to occur on an ongoing basis as current aquifers and waterways become even more depleted through unsustainable use, the affects of climate change begin to bite and the worlds population continues to increase unabated.  It also appears that New Zealand is emerging as the best source of bulk fresh water.

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Nov 04

Dams, reservoirs and desalination plants are expensive things to build on the off-chance that there is a drought. Gordon Cope explores a low, fixed-cost alternative to infrastructure investment.

There is a mismatch between water scarcity and water infrastructure. For most countries (except permanently arid regions such as Saudi Arabia) water scarcity is a seasonal, unpredictable and annually variable issue.

For the most part, water infrastructure is permanent and needs to be planned years in advance. It creates a major challenge for municipalities and water supply agencies. It is very difficult to convince the public to pay for an asset such as a desalination plant, dam or reservoir on the off-chance that it might be used for a few weeks in several years’ time, but leave the investment too late and voters are unforgiving.

Even then building assets just in case they are needed is fraught with risks, as the City of Santa Barbara in California discovered when it built a
$34 million desalination plant in response to a drought in the late 1980s which it has never used since.

In an ideal world, there would be an interim solution to water scarcity which might have high variable costs, but would not involve any major
commitment of capital until it was entirely clear that it was necessary. A number of entrepreneurs have suggested building floating desalination plants which sail around the world to deliver water to port as are required. So far none have been able to raise the money to complete such a project.

There is of course a lower tech solution. Taking water by ship to where it is required. It has been happening for years.

John Anderson is a senior partner with CWE, a New Jersey-based company that transports water. “Bulk water transport will never be commonplace because you have to have the right confluence of political will and limited distance and acceptance within the community to receive water”, he says.

Still, that doesn’t mean that deals aren’t being worked out. “We’re involved in a project that’s been four years work. We have all partners involved, from the seaport to offloading.”

The business of moving water in bulk can be roughly divided into three major components: source, transportation and destination. “Potential sources of bulk water are located in countries where water is excess to local needs and where it is completely renewable on an annual basis”, says Fred Paley, a principal at Global H2O Resources, based in Vancouver.

“The state of Alaska, Canada, Norway and Iceland have excess water.” Although sources are numerous, the general lack of loading facilities limits options. “There are 12-13 different water depots in the world”, says Anderson. “The Delaware River Basin Commission (New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York) has a port. South Carolina has a depot, and there are depots in Indonesia.”

At one time, the most efficient method of transporting water was by tanker. In the 1980s, the port of Marseille moved 45,000m3 of water via converted vegetable oil tankers (which are easier to clean than oil tankers) to drought stricken areas in Spain and Italy. That trade no longer occurs, however.

“Regarding water in bulk, we did some traffic with Spain indeed in the past but this traffic does not exist anymore”, says Gautier Hotte, spokesman for the Marseille Port Authority. “My colleague at the statistics did not find a single ton of what we call Industrial Water.”

In fact, the bulk movement of water via tanker is currently at very low levels. “I don¹t believe that there are any (long-term) contracts involving tankers in North America”, says Anderson. Even the spot market (usually the delivery of bulk water to areas stricken by drought or disaster) hardly registers on the radar.

“There might be 20 (tanker loads per year) around the world.” At an average of 50,000 deadweight tons per shipment, that would imply an annual shipment of bulk water by tanker in the neighbourhood of one million m3.

Transport of bulk water has shifted to barges, which are much less expensive to operate and dock, yet can still transport large volumes; each one can carry from one to 10 million litres a trip. “There’s a busy barge business in the Caribbean and the coast of Brazil”, says Anderson.
The Bahamas Water and Sewerage Corporation is a prominent example. In 1976, problems with its desalination plant in the capital of New Providence forced the company to seek new sources of water. It purchased several barges and began shipping water from Andros Island, 60 kilometres away. Although the process was supposed to be temporary, it continues to this day, transporting 20,000m3/d.

Bladders are even more cost effective. Made of thick polyurethane material, the cigar-shaped bags can be filled at source, towed like barges to drought stricken areas, then serve as an offshore reservoir as they are slowly drained. Nordic Water Supply has devised bladders that will carry up to 35,000m3 of water to transport water from Turkey to northern Cyprus.

Aquarius Water Trading and Transportation Ltd of Greece operates a fleet consisting of eight 720m3 bags and two 2,000m3 bags. It fills the bladders at the Greek port of Piraeus then tows the devices by tugboat to nearby islands suffering summer droughts, where they are linked to the water system. “It seems to go well”, says Anderson, who has toured Aquarius’ system. “It’s a fairly robust market.”

The largest percentage of exported water, however, is prepackaged. Around a quarter of the 130 million m3 of bottled water drunk each year is consumed outside the country of origin. The majority of that, some 30 million m3 annually, would move by container ship. “In 2004, the total traffic of mineral water in bottles through the port of Marseille was 466,000 tons [466,000m3]“, says Hotte.

“Exports are mainly destined for North America and the Far East [Japan, China] and then South East Asia. These exports use regular container lines from the Fos harbour.”

But even the staggering amount of bottled water pales in comparison to the movement of crude, which accounts for 130 million m3 every fortnight. Few would argue that water isn¹t as important as oil; why the discrepancy?
A cork in the tap

Without a doubt, public opposition to the export of water plays an important inhibiting role. When several British Columbia companies sought permission to ship water south to parched regions of the US, the hue and cry by environmentalists and nationalists forced the provincial government to impose a ban on bulk water exports in 1993, one that still exists.

“Political will founders on adverse public reaction”, says Anderson. “People say, why give water to a foreign country we don¹t like?‘” Opposition to the movement of water can also arise at the user’s end. “If you don’t elicit the support of the community receiving the water, you will have problems”, notes Anderson.

The lack of infrastructure is also a limiting factor. Most water utility systems are simply not set up to receive bulk shipments from ports; the vast majority is either sourced at reservoirs or wells. Also, there is a significant lack of loading facilities; the port of Sitka, which wishes to
ship billions of litres of water, has no dedicated dock. “They are looking at a system for cruise ships by 2007″, says Paley.

But the single largest factor hindering the movement of water is cost. According to the United Nations International Environmental Technology Centre (IETC), the Bahamas Water and Sewerage Corporation pays about $0.60/m3 for production and receiving facility charges. It costs a further $0.89/m3 to ship the water 60 kilometres, for a total cost of $1.50/m3. This does not compare well with current desalination techniques, which have lowered the price to the $0.60/m3 range.

And when the distance from source to consumer increases, so does the price tag. Prior to Hurricane Katrina, shipping crude oil from the Middle East to North America cost approximately $7/m3. Transportation prices for large tankers have since tripled, and are expected to stay high for some time. “Distance from source to offloading is extremely important”, says Anderson. “You can’t run a tanker from Alaska to San Diego and think you¹ll make money.”

For now, water transporters must work out sophisticated plans to make their projects economically feasible. The city of Sitka in Alaska advertised meltwater from its lake as a potential water resource in GWI last year. Quest Imports International, a New York-based trading firm, now has a licence to move 20,000m3 annually from the lake.

The company is exploring a value-added approach called harvesting. “With harvesting, not only do you use the water for bottling but you harvest minerals out of the water using distillation”, says Abe Shah, a senior partner at Quest. “You can use the minerals for health and other purposes, and you can use the distilled water for hospitals and cleaning computer motherboards.” The company is also working to reduce transportation costs. “Quest is creating its own dedicated fleet from retrofitted tankers.”

In spite of public opposition and high transportation costs, the inexorable rise in demand and depletion of resources will eventually create a need for transported water. “We are at the cusp where the public is looking at it and it is becoming acceptable”, says Anderson. Potential clients may be in areas where indigenous supplies have been polluted, such as Bangladesh, or where there is no access to the energy needed for desalination, such as Gaza.

After that, markets that contain the right geographical confluence of source and consumer will emerge. “Areas where you have rivers exiting onto the ocean in relatively unpopulated regions, and arid regions within 1,000 miles”, says Anderson. “Central American rivers, for instance, and coastal Peru. There are similar areas in Asia and Africa.

“Twenty years from now, there will be a small but lucrative trade in shipped water”, Anderson continues. “It won’t ever be commonplace, but there will always be a market segment there. A small group of individuals in the world will be doing it.”

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Oct 20

By Sarah O’Connor

Published: July 23 2008 16:17 | Last updated: July 23 2008 16:17

Otto Spork has hired three glaciers. He is siphoning off the melting glacier water, and plans to put it in tankers and ship it to thirsty companies and countries across the globe.

Water is the new oil, reckons Mr Spork, chief executive of Canadian hedge fund Sextant Capital Management: “Two years ago we were looking for the next big commodity and settled on water. It was underappreciated, mispriced, and growing scarce.”

Sextant bought 95-year water rights to three glaciers in northern Europe, all close to ports. One glacier will be used to create bottled water; the other two will provide bulk water transported to customers in 24,000 litre containers or supertankers.

Mr Spork plans to float his glacier-owning companies in the next 6 months, and says he is in talks with major commodity exchanges which he hopes will lead to a global market in water futures, fed by his glaciers.

Is the former dentist mad, or inspired?

Water certainly is scarce. The growing global population, climate change, waste and pollution have conspired to put pressure on the 1 per cent of the world’s water mass that is both fresh and available.

Merrill Lynch estimates that by 2025 two thirds of the world’s population could be living in conditions of “water stress”, which would have a major impact on farming (which uses 70 per cent of the world’s freshwater), industry (22 per cent) and day-to-day living (8 per cent.)

Statistics like that have persuaded the “commodities king” Jim Rogers, who has a track record for timely and lucrative investments, of Mr Spork’s point of view.

“Water is the single most important resource because without water there’s no agriculture, there’s no industry,” he says. “You can survive war and famine and plague and epidemics and a thousand other things but you can’t survive without water.”

Legendary oil investor T.Boone Pickens agrees, and has spent $100m buying up water rights in Texas and building a 250 mile pipeline to the city of Dallas, where he hopes to sell it.

But water is not yet traded as a global commodity. It is owned, by and large, by governments, not by private companies. It is heavily subsidised in many countries, particularly for farmers, exacerbating waste and inefficiency. Prices vary hugely across the globe, and often the poorest people without access to municipal water pay huge premiums.

Water needs to become more expensive, says Mr Rogers, and the free market is the best tool for the job.

“When something’s free people use it. When it’s priced to market rates people use less of it, and people find more of it and bring it to market. This is simple economics since the beginning of time,” he says.

Christopher Gasson, publisher of journal Global Water Intelligence, says the wheels are in motion: “Previously the price of water has been set primarily by social concerns. Now we are moving to a time where the main driver will be scarcity.”

Indeed, there are already examples of water trading within nations.

Australia made the leap 25 years ago when the government instigated a water trading system after it realised farmers had been over-allocated water and were depleting the country’s reserves.

Canberra said farmers who wanted permanent water rights or annual allocations should trade them with each other, much like the trade in carbon.

Last year $1.3 billion in permanent and temporary water rights were traded across specialised exchanges in Australia, according to national water broker Waterfind. The market is growing at 20 per cent a year.

“It’s only recently that water values have started to climb and the markets have gained some critical mass,” says Tom Rooney, Waterfind’s chief executive. “Now people can invest in water and hold water without land, like an investment…it’s starting to turn into a commodity.”

Mr Rooney says the market, as yet unregulated, is maturing fast. Although most trading is done between farmers, he says some national and international investment groups are also moving in. Water derivatives are being developed.

Parched west Texas also has a history of water rights trading, and there are murmurings of similar plans in China and India.

Dan Nees, an associate at the World Resources Institute, thinks new pricing mechanisms are inevitable. “We’re going to get the right price signals in placed country by country, some via water trading, others via municipalities raising rates,” he says. “Then it’s just a matter of time before we can move to a global market.”

However, a global market in physical water, not just water rights, faces practical and political hurdles.

Water is essentially local, difficult and expensive to transport. T.Boone Pickens hasn’t managed to persuade Dallas to buy his water yet. He is asking too high a price, the city says.

When Barcelona shipped in tankers of drinking water this summer, it paid around $3 a cubic metre according to Mr Gasson – more than triple the “average” cost. The city saw it as a stop-gap, and is now feverishly building desalinisation plants instead.

“Most international transfers of water would require shipping, and if you have a nearby sea, you may as well just desalinate the water instead,” says Mr Gasson.

Otto Spork has staked a lot of money on his bet that Mr Gasson is wrong. “Water is the most inelastic of commodities, people will pay any price to get what they need and pricing has started to increase to a point where it becomes feasible for people to ship water,” he says.

If Mr Spork’s vision was realised, it would be political dynamite.

Danielle Morley, policy researcher at Water Aid, echoes the feelings of many when she says the charity would always oppose water – a basic human right – being taken from public hands.

“How would water trading support access to water for the billions of people that don’t have it?” she asks. “In countries without strong regulators, you would have corruption, private entities buying water, taking the rights to water away from poor people.”

Mr Nees says any trading system would have to be coupled with government regulation, control, and protection for the poor. “It’s a very real concern, we’re talking about millions of people that could be priced out of the water market,

“But that’s not an argument for not having a market, it’s an argument for not having poorly designed markets or poor governments.”

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2009. You may share using our article tools. Please don’t cut articles from FT.com and redistribute by email or post to the web.

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Sep 21

While the world’s population tripled in the 20th century, the use of renewable water resources has grown six-fold. Within the next fifty years, the world population will increase by another 40 to 50 %. This population growth – coupled with industrialization and urbanization – will result in an increasing demand for water and will have serious consequences on the environment.

People lack drinking water and sanitation

Already there is more waste water generated and dispersed today than at any other time in the history of our planet: more than one out of six people lack access to safe drinking water, namely 1.1 billion people, and more than two out of six lack adequate sanitation, namely 2.6 billion people (Estimation for 2002, by the WHO/UNICEF JMP, 2004). 3900 children die every day from water borne diseases (WHO 2004). One must know that these figures represent only people with very poor conditions. In reality, these figures should be much higher.

Water resources are becoming scarce

1. Agricultural crisis

Although food security has been significantly increased in the past thirty years, water withdrawals for irrigation represent 66 % of the total withdrawals and up to 90 % in arid regions, the other 34 % being used by domestic households (10 %), industry (20 %), or evaporated from reservoirs (4 %). (Source: Shiklomanov, 1999)

As the per capita use increases due to changes in lifestyle and as population increases as well, the proportion of water for human use is increasing. This, coupled with spatial and temporal variations in water availability, means that the water to produce food for human consumption, industrial processes and all the other uses is becoming scarce.

2. Environmental crisis

It is all the more critical that increased water use by humans does not only reduce the amount of water available for industrial and agricultural development but has a profound effect on aquatic ecosystems and their dependent species. Environmental balances are disturbed and cannot play their regulating role anymore. (See Water and Nature)

3. The concept of Water Stress

Source: WaterGAP 2.0 – December 1999

Water stress results from an imbalance between water use and water resources. The water stress indicator in this map measures the proportion of water withdrawal with respect to total renewable resources. It is a criticality ratio, which implies that water stress depends on the variability of resources. Water stress causes deterioration of fresh water resources in terms of quantity (aquifer over-exploitation, dry rivers, etc.) and quality (eutrophication, organic matter pollution, saline intrusion, etc.) The value of this criticality ratio that indicates high water stress is based on expert judgment and experience (Alcamo and others, 1999). It ranges between 20 % for basins with highly variable runoff and 60 % for temperate zone basins. In this map, we take an overall value of 40 % to indicate high water stress. We see that the situation is heterogeneous over the world.

4. An increase in tensions

As the resource is becoming scarce, tensions among different users may intensify, both at the national and international level. Over 260 river basins are shared by two or more countries. In the absence of strong institutions and agreements, changes within a basin can lead to transboundary tensions. When major projects proceed without regional collaboration, they can become a point of conflicts, heightening regional instability. The Parana La Plata, the Aral Sea, the Jordan and the Danube may serve as examples. Due to the pressure on the Aral Sea, half of its superficy has disappeared, representing 2/3 of its volume. 36 000 km2 of marin grounds are now recovered by salt.

Towards a way to improve the situation

“There is a water crisis today. But the crisis is not about having too little water to satisfy our needs. It is a crisis of managing water so badly that billions of people – and the environment – suffer badly.” World Water Vision Report

With the current state of affairs, correcting measures still can be taken to avoid the crisis to be worsening. There is a increasing awareness that our freshwater resources are limited and need to be protected both in terms of quantity and quality. This water challenge affects not only the water community, but also decision-makers and every human being. “Water is everybody’s business” was one the the key messages of the 2nd World Water Forum.

1.  Saving water resources

Whatever the use of freshwater (agriculture, industry, domestic use), huge saving of water and improving of water management is possible. Almost everywhere, water is wasted, and as long as people are not facing water scarcity, they believe access to water is an obvious and natural thing. With urbanization and changes in lifestyle, water consumption is bound to increase. However, changes in food habits, for example, may reduce the problem, knowing that growing 1kg of potatoes requires only 100 litres of water, whereas 1 kg of beef requires 13 000 litres.

2.  Improving drinking water supply

Water should be recognized as a great priority. One of the main objectives of the World Water Council is to increase awareness of the water issue. Decision-makers at all levels must be implicated. One of the Millenium Development Goals is to halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and sanitation. To that aim, several measures should be taken:

  • guarantee the right to water;
  • decentralise the responsibility for water;
  • develop know-how at the local level;
  • increase and improve financing;
  • evaluate and monitor water resources.

3.  Improving transboundary cooperation

As far as transboundary conflicts are concerned, regional economic developement and cultural preservation can all be strengthened by states cooperating of water. Instead of a trend towards war, water management can be viewed as a trend towards cooperation and peace. Many initiatives are launched to avoid crises. Institutional commitments like in the Senegal River are created. In 2001, Unesco and Grenn Cross International have joined forces in response to the growing threat of conflicts linked to water. They launched the joint From Potential Conflicts to Co-Operation Potential programme to promote peace in the use of transboundary watercourses by addressing conflicts and fostering co-operation among states and stakeholders.

More about this program: www.gci.ch/en/programs/natural_02.htm

www.unesco.org/water/wwap/pccp

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Aug 15

I found this powerful movie trailer today on Portland Water Bureau’s blogsite.  It is for a documentary called Running Dry. I encourage you to watch the entire 3 minutes — it really makes you think.

Importation of bulk water can assist in fulfilling short-term needs due to climate conditions such as drought but cannot provide a long-term sustainable solution for many water-ravaged countries.  There are no easy answers to some of the world’s most pressing problems.

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Aug 10

Polythene bags used for water transportFrom the Roman aqueducts to modern-day pipelines, bulk water transportation hasn’t changed over the years.  Pipelines work well where there is an ongoing need over a long period of time so that the economic cost of construction can be recovered.  However pipelines can be an expensive alternative where there the need is ad-hoc or in response to a particular short-term set of circumstances.

The alternative to piping water is to shift the volume by sea.  This can be done in a number of ways including utilising converted oil tankers (VLCC or Suezmax) and flexible tanks inside 20′ containers (see Aquazeal).

Another method, which seems strange at first glance, involves towing water in an extremely large polythene bag behind a modified tug.  In 1988 a Canadian engineer, Jim Cran, started developing what he termed a Medusa bag for this purpose.

These bags vary considerably in volume with the larger ones being able to hold many times the volume of a supertanker.   They have already been used in perennially drought-stricken areas of the Mediterranean.  In the late 1990’s, a company called Aquarius Water Transportation began towing water to the Greek Island in 500,000 gallon bags.  Nordic Water Supply used bags 10 times the size to transport water from Turkey to Cyprus in the first half of 2001 but subsequently went broke.  The use of polythene bags has been proposed in the US as well although environmentalists blocked the transport of water before it could get underway.  So the use of this technology has been checked at best.

In his recent MSc thesis, Bruno Oreste Bellettini Cedeño of UNESCO-IHE Institute For Water Education, compared the cost of building an undersea pipeline from Brazil to Morocco to shipping water in large polythene bags from Turkey to Morocco.  The interesting outcome from the comparison was the estimated cost to ship water in bags the 3,000 kms was US$0.41c/tonne.  The often quoted cost of desalinated water is US$0.80c/tonne therefore the transport cost in bags is around half the cost of desalination, at significantly lower energy (therefore carbon cost) levels and without any of the environmental issues.

The cost of the equivalent 3,000 kms journey using a converted VLCC tanker at normal shipping rates is around US$4.40/tonne and at current shipping rates using a second-hand converted vessel is around US$2.75/tonne.

From an economic perspective, water importation using giant polythene bags does stack up against all other technologies.  However most first world countries would not choose to rely on another country for something as important as fresh water.  It is for this reason that most first world Governments have adopted a ‘desalination at any cost approach’ to water security.  This may be an acceptable approach for a country like Australia, where there are no political points to be gained for saving money but running short of water, but where does it leave less well off countries that don’t have the billions needed to embrace desalination as the only solution.

A country such as Kenya, which is currently being ravaged by drought, is badly in need to additional fresh water to avoid a humanitarian crisis.  The importation of water using the tug and bag method may well provide the short-term answer to the immediate situation.

The technology is certainly unglamorous compared to large scale desalination and waste-water recycling plants.  It also doesn’t come with the intense lobbying by multi-nationals of politicians to spend the billions of dollars that is often associated with these types of big projects but this form or water transport is applicable in two circumstances:

  1. To supply water immediately to fulfill a specific need.  This might be to stave off a looming humanitarian crisis, such as Kenya is facing, supplement existing water resource, or to cover a supply failure in a municipal water supply; or
  2. As a means to defer capital expenditure on desal projects until such time as the plant can be run at an economically efficient level.

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